李亚楠,张睿

• 1:同济大学物理科学与工程学院

摘要(Abstract)：

建设高质量教育评价体系是国家的政策导向和重点要求。作为教育评价体系的重要环节，学习预警可以帮助学生和教师及时了解学情，调整教学与学习策略，真正做到以学为中心的教学方式。本文根据大学物理混合式教学数据建立结构方程模型，将教学数据分为行为投入和认知投入两类，并通过主成分分析对学习投入进行测算。在学习投入模型的基础上，本文构建了学习效果评价方式，并进一步探讨了不同预警模型的性能。从结果上看，决策树C5.0构建的学习预警模型召回率等指标优于决策树CART、线性回归、支持向量机以及K-means算法构建的学习预警模型，能更好地预测学生是否及格。

关键词(KeyWords)： 学习预警;混合式教学;学习投入;结构方程模型

Abstract:

Keywords:

基金项目(Foundation): 2020年度上海市教育科研市级课题“大学物理交互式电子书设计与教学实践”项目(编号：C20122)

作者(Author): 李亚楠,张睿

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